FSB Surge Signals · 90-Day Backtest

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FSB Surge — break-of-structure and change-of-character signals on the world's most liquid pairs. Below: the 90-day backtest, the methodology, and the receipts.

View Methodology → See the Setups

4h Validated Pairs · 90-Day Backtest

Verified Edge, Verified Pairs

From 2026-02-21 to 2026-05-23 — real OHLC, pivot-based stops, ATR-scaled targets. No cherry-picked windows.

Independently validated over the last 90 trading days. Pulled live from our backtest database — not curated screenshots.

USD/CAD 4H chart preview
USD/CAD 4H
84.1%
Win Rate
Total Trades
44
Profit Factor
2.65
Net R
+2.24R
Max DD
2.00R
2026-02-21 → 2026-05-23 · 37W / 7L
Live on chart →

Typical results: Backtest only. Results not typical of subscribers. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Methodology.

GBP/JPY 4H chart preview
GBP/JPY 4H
82.5%
Win Rate
Total Trades
40
Profit Factor
2.36
Net R
+1.24R
Max DD
2.00R
2026-02-21 → 2026-05-23 · 33W / 7L
Live on chart →

Typical results: Backtest only. Results not typical of subscribers. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Methodology.

NZD/USD 4H chart preview
NZD/USD 4H
82.1%
Win Rate
Total Trades
39
Profit Factor
2.29
Net R
+1.01R
Max DD
2.00R
2026-02-21 → 2026-05-23 · 32W / 7L
Live on chart →

Typical results: Backtest only. Results not typical of subscribers. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Methodology.

SPX500_USD
4H · Chart preview
SPX500_USD 4H
90.0%
Win Rate
Total Trades
10
Profit Factor
2.25
Net R
+1.25R
Max DD
1.00R
2026-02-21 → 2026-05-23 · 9W / 1L
Live on chart →

Typical results: Backtest only. Results not typical of subscribers. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Methodology.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Backtests use historical OHLC data on 4 pairs across 1H and 1D timeframes. Slippage and spread applied per broker model. R = risk-multiple (gain / planned stop distance).

Verified Track Record

Live Trade Widget — Coming Soon

The backtest above is reproducible. The live track record will be third-party verified via Myfxbook so the equity curve cannot be edited or faked.

Live Verification Coming Soon

Verified track record — live trade widget

Once the trading desk connects its broker, this section will render a live Myfxbook widget with audited equity, drawdown, and per-trade ledger. 

<!-- Myfxbook embed widget (paste once MFB account ID is wired) -->
<div id="mfb-widget" data-account="YOUR_MFB_ACCOUNT_ID"></div>
<script src="https://widgets.myfxbook.com/widgets/embed.js"></script>
<script>
  // renders equity curve + stats card
  MyfxbookWidget.render('mfb-widget', {
    type: 'equity',
    width: 980,
    height: 380,
    theme: 'dark'
  });
</script>

How We Test

Methodology

Every setup on this page comes from the same FSB engine that powers Surging Markets — no different code, no different data, no different rules.

01

FSB BOS / CHOCH detection

FSB Surge fires when price breaks the most recent valid swing (Break of Structure) or inverts a trend leg (Change of Character). Pivots are computed from a 5-bar window on real OHLC.

02

90-day rolling window

Tests run from 2026-02-21 through 2026-05-23 — the most recent 90 days of TwelveData OHLC. No survivor bias, no in-sample tuning.

03

Pivot-based stop loss

SL anchored to the structural pivot that triggered the signal — not a fixed pip count. Targets scale as multiples of the planned stop (R-multiples), so results are comparable across pairs and volatility regimes.

04

Confluence + time-exit guards

Trades require a minimum confluence score and exit if they sit idle past a time-bar threshold. The same parameters ship to the live signals; nothing is overfit to history.

About the Founder

Built by Traders, for Traders

SI
Founder · Surging Markets

Surge Ignites

Surging Markets was built on the shoulders of three trading lineages — Steve Mauro's BTMM market-maker model, Nick's FSB framework, and Nemo Profits' Forex Fortune Factory. The platform is the practical synthesis of those three: structure, signal, and community. The goal is simple: build the tooling and culture we wish we'd had when we started.

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© 2026 Surging Markets. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.